Strong Option:
Nikola Jokic First Basket (+450)
Sort by projected win probability, Joker has the highest probability to get the first bucket tonight at 19.03%. Sort by full season hit rate, he has recorded the first basket the second most out of any player tonight at 22.83%, second to only Nic Claxton. Sort by team jump ball percentage and Denver starts with the ball the second most out of any team behind only the Charlotte Hornets. Sort by first shot percentage and you'll see that he takes the most first shots of the game at a staggering 40.91%. No surprise here, but the Joker is a dominant force in the first basket market.
Secondary Options:
Kyle Kuzma (+550)
Miles Bridges (+650)
Two great secondary options. Sort by projected win probability, Kuzma has the fourth highest projected probability of getting the first bucket (15.78%). Bridges is in the top-10 with a 13.94% projected probability. Kuzma and Bridges especially stick out as great secondary options because of their first shot %. Sort by first shot percentage and you'll find them second and third behind Jokic at getting off the first shot of the game at 33.85% and 33.33%.
Value Option:
Jalen Suggs (+900)
Jalen Suggs is a great value option identified by the first basket tool. Suggs has the next highest first shot percentage behind Jokic, Kuzma, Bridges and has been hot in this market recording the first basket in 3 of his last 5 games (60%).
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NBA: First Basket Tool (03/19)
March 19, 2024
Use betalytics.com First Basket Tool to project who gets the first bucket of the game at massive plus odds payouts! Sort by crucial predictive indicators such as win probability, jump ball win %, first shot win %, full season and recent game hit rate
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