Corbin Carroll (ARZ)
Under 0.5 Runs (-125)
*Value: A Grade (+14.9% Edge)
*70.4% Win Probability
*80% Hit Rate (L15)
Corbin Carroll is having a terrible sophomore season after a breakout rookie of the year season in 2023. Carroll is batting just.193 on the season, down to .179 in the last 30 games. His on-base percentage is just .260 in the past 30 games, so he is not getting on base a lot for run opportunities. He has bad to sub-par advanced batting metrics all-around with exit velocity, launch angle, sweet spot, hard hit percentages in the 14th to 42nd percentiles. Corbin Carroll has failed to scored a run in 68.2% of games this season and in 80% of his last 15 games.
Luis Arraez (SD)
Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)
*Value: A+ Grade (+15.49% Edge)
*75% Win Probability
*60% Hit Rate (L10 Games)
Luis Arraez has a great .303 batting average through 43 games this season, however 80% of these hits are for singles. Arraez has a low .371 slugging percentage and advanced batting metrics not conducive to extra base hitting with exit velocity, launch angle, hard hit percentages in the 9th to 27th percentiles of the MLB. Arraez has hits in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), but has failed to get 2+ total bases in 6 of his last 10 games (60%). Arraez is 0-5 in 3 games versus Austin Gomber. Expect Arraez to hit a single, but 2 hits or an extra base hit is unlikely.
Single bet these or parlay together for a +200 payout!
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